← 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.0%
avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322
· median 1322
· range 1315–1329
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1245
Q3 1387
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
